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Commodity price shocks related to the war in Ukraine and exchange rates of commodity exporters and importers

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Заглавие Commodity price shocks related to the war in Ukraine and exchange rates of commodity exporters and importers
 
Автор Sokhanvar, A.
Bouri, E.
 
Тематика COMMODITY CURRENCIES
DYNAMIC SIMULATED AUTOREGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTED LAGS (DSARDL) MODEL
ENERGY PRICE SHOCKS
EXCHANGE RATES
QUANTILE AUTOREGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTED LAGS (QARDL)
RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR
 
Описание The war in Ukraine and new sanctions imposed on Russia have affected commodity prices and induced historic moves in exchange rate markets. In this paper, we examine the impact of commodity price shocks related to the war in Ukraine on three currencies (Canadian dollar, euro, and Japanese yen). Using four-hour price data for three commodities (wheat, crude oil, and natural gas) and two exchange rates (EUR/CAD and CAD/JPY) from February 1 to April 30, 2022, the analysis based on the quantile autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model suggests a long-run association between higher commodity prices and appreciation of the Canadian dollar against the euro and the yen. Furthermore, the dynamic simulated ARDL model shows a positive impact of commodity price shocks on the value of the Canadian dollar against the euro and the yen, which demonstrates the robustness of our findings. Oil price shocks have almost the same impact on the depreciation of the euro and the yen. The driving forces in the depreciation of the euro and the yen, in addition to higher oil prices, are higher gas prices and higher wheat prices, respectively. © 2022 Borsa Ä°stanbul Anonim Åžirketi
None.
 
Дата 2024-04-05T16:16:08Z
2024-04-05T16:16:08Z
2023
 
Тип Article
Journal article (info:eu-repo/semantics/article)
|info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
 
Идентификатор Sokhanvar, A & Bouri, E 2023, 'Commodity price shocks related to the war in Ukraine and exchange rates of commodity exporters and importers', Borsa Istanbul Review, Том. 23, № 1, стр. 44-54. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2022.09.001
Sokhanvar, A., & Bouri, E. (2023). Commodity price shocks related to the war in Ukraine and exchange rates of commodity exporters and importers. Borsa Istanbul Review, 23(1), 44-54. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2022.09.001
2214-8450
Final
All Open Access, Gold
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85138824305&doi=10.1016%2fj.bir.2022.09.001&partnerID=40&md5=4734855c031585125731c39175dd4c43
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2022.09.001
http://elar.urfu.ru/handle/10995/130226
10.1016/j.bir.2022.09.001
85138824305
000948747500001
 
Язык en
 
Права Open access (info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess)
cc-by-nc-nd
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
 
Формат application/pdf
 
Издатель Borsa Istanbul Anonim Sirketi
 
Источник Borsa Istanbul Review
Borsa Istanbul Review