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Spillovers effect of gas price on macroeconomic indicators: A GVAR approach

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Заглавие Spillovers effect of gas price on macroeconomic indicators: A GVAR approach
 
Автор Mirnezami, S. R.
Sohag, K.
Jamour, M.
Moridi-Farimani, F.
Hosseinian, A.
 
Тематика GVAR
IMPULSE RESPONSES
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
NATURAL GAS
OIL PRICE SHOCK
GASES
NATURAL GAS
PUBLIC POLICY
AUTO-REGRESSIVE
ENERGY TRANSITIONS
GAS PRICE
GLOBAL ENERGY
GLOBAL VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE
MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
OIL PRICE SHOCKS
RESOURCE RENTS
RESOURCE-RICH
SPILLOVER EFFECTS
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
 
Описание The demand for natural gas as a transitional fuel has been increasing steadily due to global energy transitions. However, the high concentration of natural gas sources among a few producers and the dependence of many consuming economies raises questions about the macroeconomic impact of gas price shocks. Therefore, this study utilizes the global vector autoregressive (GVAR) approach to estimate the spillover effects of natural gas price shocks on key macroeconomic indicators. To enhance the GVAR data vintage, we have incorporated Iran and Russia in 24 countries and updated data till 2020. Our empirical analysis reveals that inflation responds positively to gas price hikes in major gas-consuming countries. Moreover, real GDP responds positively to increased gas prices in resource-rich countries such as Iran and Russia but negatively in other countries. Additionally, an augmentation of resource rents fosters GDP for Iran and Russia. Our findings highlight several policy implications that account for gas price shocks. Therefore, policymakers should consider the spillover effects of gas price shocks and their impact on inflation and real GDP. Moreover, resource-rich countries like Iran and Russia should optimize resource rents to foster economic growth. © 2023 The Author(s)
Russian Foundation for Basic Research, РФФИ; Iran National Science Foundation, INSF: - 20-510-56021, 98029913
The reported study was funded by RFBR and INSF , Project Numbers:- 20-510-56021 and 98029913 , respectively.
 
Дата 2024-04-05T16:25:25Z
2024-04-05T16:25:25Z
2023
 
Тип Article
Journal article (info:eu-repo/semantics/article)
|info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
 
Идентификатор Mirnezami, SR, Sohag, K, Jamour, M, Moridi-Farimani, F & Hosseinian, A 2023, 'Spillovers effect of gas price on macroeconomic indicators: A GVAR approach', Energy Reports, Том. 9, стр. 6211-6218. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2023.05.222
Mirnezami, S. R., Sohag, K., Jamour, M., Moridi-Farimani, F., & Hosseinian, A. (2023). Spillovers effect of gas price on macroeconomic indicators: A GVAR approach. Energy Reports, 9, 6211-6218. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2023.05.222
2352-4847
Final
All Open Access, Gold
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85161261364&doi=10.1016%2fj.egyr.2023.05.222&partnerID=40&md5=6544a479d7ce5e832010717cfa03b369
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2023.05.222
http://elar.urfu.ru/handle/10995/130543
10.1016/j.egyr.2023.05.222
85161261364
001020770800001
 
Язык en
 
Права Open access (info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess)
cc-by-nc-nd
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
 
Формат application/pdf
 
Издатель Elsevier Ltd
 
Источник Energy Reports
Energy Reports