Modeling the dynamics of passenger traffic in road transport for the regional road network
Электронный научный архив УРФУ
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Modeling the dynamics of passenger traffic in road transport for the regional road network
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| Автор |
Ie, O.
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| Описание |
Problems of modeling seasonality in the study of the temporal distribution of passenger traffic in road transport according to the daily data on the example of the Sverdlovsk region for the period February-November 2021 are considered in the article. The use of a statistical approach based on adaptive models made it possible to obtain an adequate model with good statistical and predictive properties. Algorithms for constructing the Holt-Winters model and its software implementation in Python are considered. The indicators studied in the work had a number of features that were taken into account in the modeling. Point and interval estimates of the forecast of passenger traffic for December 2021 were found. © 2023 Author(s).
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| Дата |
2024-04-05T16:38:57Z
2024-04-05T16:38:57Z 2023 |
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| Тип |
Conference Paper
Conference object (info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject) Published version (info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion) |
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| Идентификатор |
Ie, O 2023, Modeling the dynamics of passenger traffic in road transport for the regional road network: book chapter. в AG Galkin & SV Bushuev (ред.), 2021 International Scientific and Practical Conference on Railway Transport and Technologies, RTT 2021: book. Том. 2624, AIP Conference Proceedings, № 1, Том. 2624, American Institute of Physics Inc. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0132237
Ie, O. (2023). Modeling the dynamics of passenger traffic in road transport for the regional road network: book chapter. в A. G. Galkin, & S. V. Bushuev (Ред.), 2021 International Scientific and Practical Conference on Railway Transport and Technologies, RTT 2021: book (Том 2624). (AIP Conference Proceedings; Том 2624, № 1). American Institute of Physics Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0132237 9780735447066 0094-243X Final All Open Access, Bronze https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85182007844&doi=10.1063%2f5.0132237&partnerID=40&md5=9147a805d8ec87daaedc043898ed2de9 https://pubs.aip.org/aip/acp/article-pdf/doi/10.1063/5.0132237/18275240/050012_1_5.0132237.pdf http://elar.urfu.ru/handle/10995/131115 10.1063/5.0132237 85182007844 |
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| Язык |
en
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| Права |
Open access (info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess)
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| Формат |
application/pdf
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| Издатель |
American Institute of Physics Inc.
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| Источник |
AIP Conference Proceedings
AIP Conference Proceedings |
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