Methodological foundations and Modern methods of the population projection
Электронный научный архив УРФУ
Информация об архиве | Просмотр оригинала| Поле | Значение | |
| Заглавие |
Methodological foundations and Modern methods of the population projection
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| Автор |
Nifantova, R. V.
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| Тематика |
ANALYSIS
BIRTH RATE DEMOGRAPHICS HYPOTHESIS METHODS AND VARIANTS OF THE FORECASTING MIGRATION MORTALITY POPULATION PREVISION SITUATION |
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| Описание |
In the article, the author classified the methods of population projection on the basis of generalization of extensive theoretical and empirical data of national and foreign researchers. Particularly, the method of shifting ages or the component-method was allocated. The article emphasizes the approaches of possible hypotheses of demographic processes' development on the long and short run. The author in detail submitted the list of factors, which most can affect dynamics of birth rate, mortality, migratory mobility of the population in Russia in the short term, such as stability of economic growth; growth of living standards and quality of life of the population; maintenance of traditional family values; health system improvement; improvement of ecological situation, etc. As an example, the author presented her own calculation results of the expected number of the population of a municipal unit «city of Yekaterinburg» up to 2030. Further, analysis of the obtained data was made. In the paper, the importance of population projection for socioeconomic planning of development of the country as a whole and its certain territories is shown.
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| Дата |
2024-04-17T11:45:28Z
2024-04-17T11:45:28Z 2013 |
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| Тип |
Review
Review (info:eu-repo/semantics/review) Published version (info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion) |
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| Идентификатор |
Nifantova R. V. Methodological foundations and Modern methods of the population projection / R. V. Nifantova // Economy of Region. — 2013. — Iss. 2. — P. 185-192.
2411-1406 2072-6414 http://elar.urfu.ru/handle/10995/131846 10.17059/2013-2-20 84979726373 |
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| Язык |
ru
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| Связанные ресурсы |
Экономика региона. 2013. Выпуск 2
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| Права |
Open access (info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess)
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| Формат |
application/pdf
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| Издатель |
Institute of Economics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Институт экономики Уральского отделения РАН |
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| Источник |
Econ. Reg.
Economy of Region |
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