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Construction of the migration flows forecasting into Russian regions

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Заглавие Construction of the migration flows forecasting into Russian regions
 
Автор Tarasyev, A. A.
 
Тематика DYNAMIC MODELING
FORECAST
INTERNATIONAL LABOR MIGRATION
LABOR MARKET
MIGRATION POLICY
NEOCLASSICAL THEORY
REGION
THE THEORY OF HUMAN CAPITAL
 
Описание This paper presents a dynamic model that can predict the dynamics of migration flows between source countries and host regions, as well as the dynamics of wage levels there. The model is constructed within the framework of neoclassical economics and human capital theory in continuous time. Thanks to liberalization of migration policy in Russia in 2007, the model could be successfully employed to Russian regions and the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), which have visa-free entry regulations with the Russian Federation. Employing the model on statistical data, we forecast the number and origin composition of foreign labor force from the CIS into Russian regions for 2010-2016. The purpose of our further research is to classify migrants by skills.
 
Дата 2024-04-17T11:45:30Z
2024-04-17T11:45:30Z
2013
 
Тип Article
Journal article (info:eu-repo/semantics/article)
Published version (info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion)
 
Идентификатор Tarasyev A. A. Construction of the migration flows forecasting into Russian regions / A. A. Tarasyev // Economy of Region. — 2013. — Iss. 2. — P. 193-199.
2411-1406
2072-6414
http://elar.urfu.ru/handle/10995/131847
10.17059/2013-2-21
84979844447
 
Язык ru
 
Связанные ресурсы Экономика региона. 2013. Выпуск 2
 
Права Open access (info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess)
 
Формат application/pdf
 
Издатель Institute of Economics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Институт экономики Уральского отделения РАН
 
Источник Econ. Reg.
Economy of Region