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Future Development Of Migration Processes And Labour Market In The Regions Of Russia

Электронный научный архив УРФУ

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Поле Значение
 
Заглавие Future Development Of Migration Processes And Labour Market In The Regions Of Russia
 
Автор Vasilyeva, A. V.
Tarasyev, A. A.
 
Тематика FORECAST
INTERNATIONAL LABOR MIGRATION
REGION
SEARCH MODEL AND APPROPRIATE MATCH SELECTION
UNEMPLOYMENT
WAGE
 
Описание Russia’s reasons for the continuing need of the foreign labor influx were researched. Forecast of the interdependent labor market development and migration processes in the regions of Russian is proposed as a scientific basis for better regulation of the international labor migration. The genesis of approaches to migration modeling, revealing the lack of tools for the simultaneous prediction of migration processes and the labor market was studied. A developed model complex allows to predict: 1) migration flows, determined by the wages level difference and the distance between the country of origin and the destination regions, number of potential migrants in countries of origin and the number of migrants who arrived earlier in the regions of destination; 2) migrants’ employment in the region, considering changes in the job availability as a result of the migrants influx to the regional labor markets, characterized by search tensions; 3) the level of wages in the region, considering the bargaining power of the worker. The application of the model complex to the statistical data resulted in obtaining of the forecast flows of migrants in the Russian regions from the CIS and their influence on the regional labor markets development up to 2020. Based on this forecast, the recommendations to improve the management of the international labor migration in the Russian regions were developed.
 
Дата 2024-04-17T11:47:01Z
2024-04-17T11:47:01Z
2014
 
Тип Article
Journal article (info:eu-repo/semantics/article)
Published version (info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion)
 
Идентификатор Vasilyeva A. V. Future Development Of Migration Processes And Labour Market In The Regions Of Russia / A. V. Vasilyeva, A. A. Tarasyev // Economy of Region. — 2014. — Iss. 4. — P. 283-298.
2411-1406
2072-6414
http://elar.urfu.ru/handle/10995/132003
84979820280
 
Язык ru
 
Связанные ресурсы Экономика региона. 2014. Выпуск 4
 
Права Open access (info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess)
 
Формат application/pdf
 
Издатель Institute of Economics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Институт экономики Уральского отделения РАН
 
Источник Econ. Reg.
Economy of Region