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Dynamic Modeling of Professional Mobility in the Context of Labor Market Precarization

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Заглавие Dynamic Modeling of Professional Mobility in the Context of Labor Market Precarization
 
Автор Tarasyev, A. A.
Agarkov, G. A.
Sushchenko, A. D.
Tarasyev, A. M.
 
Тематика BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS
DYNAMIC GAMES
DYNAMIC MODEL
LABOR MARKET
LABOR PRECARIZATION.
OPTIMAL CONTROL
OPTIMIZATION
PROFESSIONAL MOBILITY
PROFESSIONAL TRAJECTORIES
COMMERCE
ENERGY CONSERVATION
FORECASTING
POPULATION STATISTICS
PROFESSIONAL ASPECTS
RISK ASSESSMENT
BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS
DYNAMIC GAME
DYNAMICS MODELS
LABOR PRECARIZATION.
LABOUR MARKET
OPTIMAL CONTROLS
OPTIMISATIONS
PROFESSIONAL MOBILITY
PROFESSIONAL TRAJECTORY
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
EMPLOYMENT
 
Описание The pandemic has become a catalyst for the inevitable process of digitalization of communications, significantly changing the organization and technology of professional activity around the world. There has been a radical change in labor market trends due to the digital transformation of the economy, changes in the unemployment rate, the transition of professional groups to the remote work format due to the external need for isolation to minimize the spread of Covid-19. The uncertainty of the labor market development conditions, as well as changes in the unemployment rate among the young subset of employable population, cause the emergence of various forms of unstable employment. The presence of high social risks, the need to develop mechanisms to increase the level of protection of the population, ensuring the growth of youth welfare and the formation of an energy saving policy aimed, inter alia, at the innovative development of the labor economy, determine the relevance of developing a set of models for predicting precarization of the labor market. To describe the dynamics of the labor market development, we constructed a model for assessing the risks for young professionals from key sectors of the economy who enter the precariat during the pandemic. Based on the provisions of the theory of positional games and behavioral economics, we have developed a multifactorial dynamic model for predicting professional mobility and precarization of the labor market, considering the fulfillment of Nash equilibrium conditions. The model allows you to track and predict the professional mobility of qualified youth depending on the intensity of the labor market, wage levels and the degree of digital maturity of companies in the region. Copyright © 2022 The Authors.
 
Дата 2024-04-22T15:52:53Z
2024-04-22T15:52:53Z
2022
 
Тип Conference paper
Conference object (info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject)
Published version (info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion)
 
Идентификатор Tarasyev, AA, Agarkov, GA, Sushchenko, AD & Tarasyev, AM 2022, 'Dynamic Modeling of Professional Mobility in the Context of Labor Market Precarization', IFAC-PapersOnLine, Том. 55, № 16, стр. 388-393. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2022.09.055
Tarasyev, A. A., Agarkov, G. A., Sushchenko, A. D., & Tarasyev, A. M. (2022). Dynamic Modeling of Professional Mobility in the Context of Labor Market Precarization. IFAC-PapersOnLine, 55(16), 388-393. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2022.09.055
2405-8963
Final
All Open Access; Bronze Open Access
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2022.09.055
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2022.09.055
http://elar.urfu.ru/handle/10995/132364
10.1016/j.ifacol.2022.09.055
85142239766
855235100064
 
Язык en
 
Права Open access (info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess)
 
Формат application/pdf
 
Издатель Elsevier B.V.
 
Источник IFAC-PapersOnLine
IFAC-PapersOnLine