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Modeling the Situation of Pseudo-Security of the Food Sector of the Region

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Заглавие Modeling the Situation of Pseudo-Security of the Food Sector of the Region
 
Автор Kuklin, A. A.
Kriventsova, L. A.
Ivanov, V. M.
 
Тематика ECONOMIC SECURITY
FOOD CONSUMPTION
FOOD SECTOR OF THE REGION
FOOD SOVEREIGNTY
PSEUDO-SECURITY
STRUCTURAL IMBALANCES
THE URAL FEDERAL DISTRIC
 
Описание The priority task of the development of any socio-economic system is to ensure economic security. However, during the research of economic security we found that there are states of the social and economic system which are characterised by normal values of indicators and trends from the perspectives of economic security. But, at the same time there are preconditions for unbalancing and regress of the system in the nearest future. We have characterised such tendencies as a situation of pseudo-security. The study aims to identify the situations of pseudo-security. A pseudo-security detection model was developed using the food sector of the region as an example. We assume that the situation of pseudo-security arises as a result of structural imbalances and inconsistencies in production and consumption. The constituent entities of the Urals Federal District, namely the Sverdlovsk, Kurgan, Tyumen and Chelyabinsk regions, were selected as the object of analysis. Food security assessment of the constituent entities of the Ural Federal District showed a high level of their security. Deterministic factor analysis of the structure of production and consumption of basic food products has shown that the food security of these constituent entities is provided exclusively by the production of bread and bread products. An analysis of the structure of consumption also revealed significant deviations in consumption, in particular in the Sverdlovsk region. The calculations revealed the situation of food pseudo-security of the constituent entities of the Ural Federal District. The results can be used to simulate the situation of pseudo-security in other areas of the socio-economic system. © Spatial Economics 2019.
Russian Foundation for Basic Research, РФФИ: 19-010-00373
Acknowledgments. The study has been conducted with the financial support of the Russian Foundation for Basic Research science project No. 19-010-00373 ‘Security and pseudo-security of economic development of the regions of Russia under the influence of multidirectional trends’.
 
Дата 2024-04-23T11:10:41Z
2024-04-23T11:10:41Z
2019
 
Тип Article
Journal article (info:eu-repo/semantics/article)
Published version (info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion)
 
Идентификатор Kuklin, A., Institute of Economics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Kriventsova, L., Ivanov, V., Institute of Economics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, & Ural Federal University named after the first President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin. (2019). Modeling the situation of pseudo-security of the food sector of the region. Spatial Economics, 15(3), 59–77. doi:10.14530/se.2019.3.059-077
1815-9834
Final
All Open Access, Gold
http://www.spatial-economics.com/images/spatial-econimics/2019_3/SE.2019.3.059-077.Kuklin.pdf
http://elar.urfu.ru/handle/10995/132522
41181768
10.14530/se.2019.3.059-077
85150355681
 
Язык ru
 
Права Open access (info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess)
cc-by
 
Формат application/pdf
 
Издатель Economic Research Institute, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences
 
Источник Spatial Economics
Spatial Economics